Cum decizi când să investești în critomonede?

Există o expresie devenită deja clișeu: "cumpără ieftin și vinde scump". Doar că lucrurile nu prea sunt atât de simple. Uneori ar putea fi dificil să decizi ce înseamnă ieftin sau scump într-un anumit context sau interval. Însă, în această situație, te ajută analiza tehnică.

Cum calculezi valoarea "normală" a unei monede virtuale?

Nu am ales întâmplător acest moment pentru a discuta despre valoarea unei criptomonede. Graficele ne arată că cele mai multe monede se află într-o revenire de formă după mini-colapsul de la începutul anului. Pe scurt: am avut un boom în decembrie, apoi o corecție generoasă, iar acum lucrurile se calmează. Acest lucru se observă cel mai bine în graficul Bitcoin pe un an care, de cele mai multe ori, este reprezentativ pentru trendul în domeniu:

Se poate observa că ne aflăm într-un moment în care Bitcoin se situează la un nivel așteptat. Și nu doar prețul indică acest lucru, dar și volumul tranzacționat. Aceasta este o situație potrită pentru a investi pe termen lung. Dar este și un semn bun care ne arată că investitorii nu s-au speriat și au revenit în forță. Rămâne doar de ales moneda cea mai productivă în care să investești.

Cum alegi criptomoneda în care să investești?

Eu folosesc, în general, un proces conservator de alegere a monedei potrivite. Adică prefer să optez pentru siguranța sumei investite în detrimentul posibilității de a maximiza profitul. Cele mai sigure monede sunt, fără a surprinde pe cineva, cele din top. Motivul este că acestea sunt susținute de o masă impresionantă de oameni și au cele mai reduse șanse de a dispărea peste noapte.

Se observă o creștere la unison a criptomonedelor în ultimele 30 de zile, însă cum poți alege o singură variantă din cele disponibile? Eu prefer să folosesc mai multe metode de eliminare.

De exemplu:

- Bitcoin are costuri mari la tranzacții

- Ripple forțează utilizatorii să păstreze o sumă minimă în portofel, deci contul nu poate fi niciodată lichidat

- despre Bitcoin Cash am citit prea multe lucruri negative ca să mă implic

- EOS pare supra-cumpărat și a început deja să scadă

- TRON este ridicat de un posibil (dar incert) parteneriat cu AliBaba

Despre cele care au rămas mai pot să afirm (fără a oferi garanții) următoarele:

- Ethereum este o monedă cu vechime care oferă probabil cea mai mare siguranță. Are un trend similar similar cu Bitcoin, dar taxe incomparabil mai mici la tranzacții. Este o alegere bună pe termen lung.

- Cardano și Stellar sunt monede ce au atras atenția multor investitori în ultima perioadă. În viitor estimez că vor lupta pentru a intra în top 5.

- Litecoin este tot o monedă de siguranță, cu mulți fani. Însă nu cred că va mai arăta explozii de preț ca în trecut.

- NEO mi se pare în acest moment o monedă subevaluată și cred că va mai crește puternic în viitorul apropiat înainte de a se stabiliza.

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